Tampa Bay Lightning v Philadelphia Flyers prediction and odds
Tampa Bay Lightning take on Philadelphia Flyers in the NHL, and here is how our model sees it.
Our reading
This one is close to a coin flip on our numbers — 41% for Tampa Bay Lightning against 32% for Philadelphia Flyers. Our model puts a stalemate at 27%; draw no bet or double chance can cover that scenario. On the total, the main line is 5.5 and we rate the over at 48%.
The figures above are what our rating model expects, built from past results; the odds you see are those probabilities with our margin applied evenly across each market. How we price our odds
Markets and odds
Match result (1X2)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 2.25 | 41% | |
| Draw | 3.46 | 27% | |
| Philadelphia Flyers | 2.96 | 32% |
Winner
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 1.68 | 56% | |
| Philadelphia Flyers | 2.11 | 44% |
Total (4.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 4.5 | 1.30 | 72% | |
| Under 4.5 | 3.31 | 28% |
Total (5.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5.5 | 1.96 | 48% | |
| Under 5.5 | 1.79 | 52% |
Total (6.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6.5 | 2.45 | 38% | |
| Under 6.5 | 1.51 | 62% |
Recent form
Tampa Bay Lightning
- W2026-10-03 · Washington Capitals · 3-1
- L2026-10-01 · New York Rangers · 1-5
- L2026-05-03 · Montreal Canadiens · 1-2
- W2026-05-01 · Montreal Canadiens · 1-0
- L2026-04-29 · Montreal Canadiens · 2-3
Philadelphia Flyers
- L2026-10-03 · Carolina Hurricanes · 2-3
- L2026-10-01 · New Jersey Devils · 2-3
- L2026-09-30 · Pittsburgh Penguins · 0-7
- L2026-05-09 · Carolina Hurricanes · 2-3
- L2026-05-08 · Carolina Hurricanes · 1-4
Recent form: 2 wins from 5 for Tampa Bay Lightning. Philadelphia Flyers come in with 0 victories in their last 5 outings.
Head to head
In their last 3 meetings, Tampa Bay Lightning won 3 and Philadelphia Flyers won 0.
- 2026-01-13 · Philadelphia Flyers 1-5 Tampa Bay Lightning
- 2026-01-11 · Philadelphia Flyers 2-7 Tampa Bay Lightning
- 2025-11-25 · Tampa Bay Lightning 3-0 Philadelphia Flyers
Odds can move right up to 1 minute before the start, and this preview page is withdrawn once the match is over.