Washington Capitals v Pittsburgh Penguins prediction and odds
Washington Capitals take on Pittsburgh Penguins in the NHL, and here is how our model sees it.
Our reading
Very little separates the two: Washington Capitals 37%, Pittsburgh Penguins 37%. The draw comes out at 26%, which is worth keeping in mind before backing either side outright. Our model sees the over 6.5 landing 49% of the time.
The figures above are what our rating model expects, built from past results; the odds you see are those probabilities with our margin applied evenly across each market. How we price our odds
Markets and odds
Match result (1X2)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Capitals | 2.52 | 37% | |
| Draw | 3.63 | 26% | |
| Pittsburgh Penguins | 2.51 | 37% |
Winner
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Capitals | 1.87 | 50% | |
| Pittsburgh Penguins | 1.87 | 50% |
Total (5.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5.5 | 1.58 | 59% | |
| Under 5.5 | 2.29 | 41% |
Total (6.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6.5 | 1.89 | 49% | |
| Under 6.5 | 1.85 | 51% |
Total (7.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 | 3.23 | 29% | |
| Under 7.5 | 1.32 | 71% |
Recent form
Washington Capitals
- L2026-10-03 · Tampa Bay Lightning · 1-3
- W2026-10-02 · Carolina Hurricanes · 5-2
- W2026-04-14 · Columbus Blue Jackets · 2-1
- W2026-04-12 · Pittsburgh Penguins · 3-0
- W2026-04-11 · Pittsburgh Penguins · 6-3
Pittsburgh Penguins
- W2026-10-03 · Montreal Canadiens · 6-5
- W2026-09-30 · Philadelphia Flyers · 7-0
- L2026-04-29 · Philadelphia Flyers · 0-1
- W2026-04-27 · Philadelphia Flyers · 3-2
- W2026-04-26 · Philadelphia Flyers · 4-2
Washington Capitals won 4 of their last 5. Recent form: 4 wins from 5 for Pittsburgh Penguins.
Head to head
The recent record between them reads Washington Capitals 2 – Pittsburgh Penguins 1 across 3 matches.
- 2026-04-12 · Washington Capitals 3-0 Pittsburgh Penguins
- 2026-04-11 · Pittsburgh Penguins 3-6 Washington Capitals
- 2025-11-07 · Pittsburgh Penguins 5-3 Washington Capitals
Odds can move right up to 1 minute before the start, and this preview page is withdrawn once the match is over.