Tampa Bay Lightning v Minnesota Wild prediction and odds
Our numbers for Tampa Bay Lightning v Minnesota Wild (NHL): probabilities, form and the prices on offer.
Our reading
This one is close to a coin flip on our numbers — 38% for Tampa Bay Lightning against 35% for Minnesota Wild. Our model puts a stalemate at 26%; draw no bet or double chance can cover that scenario. Goals or points: the 5.5 line, with a 54% chance of going over on our numbers.
These probabilities come from our own models (Elo ratings for duels and esports, Poisson goals or normal points distributions for team sports), not from another bookmaker's prices. How we price our odds
Markets and odds
Match result (1X2)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 2.45 | 38% | |
| Draw | 3.54 | 26% | |
| Minnesota Wild | 2.64 | 35% |
Winner
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 1.81 | 52% | |
| Minnesota Wild | 1.93 | 48% |
Total (4.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 4.5 | 1.23 | 76% | |
| Under 4.5 | 3.94 | 24% |
Total (5.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5.5 | 1.74 | 54% | |
| Under 5.5 | 2.02 | 46% |
Total (6.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6.5 | 2.13 | 44% | |
| Under 6.5 | 1.67 | 56% |
Recent form
Tampa Bay Lightning
- W2026-10-05 · Philadelphia Flyers · 4-1
- W2026-10-03 · Washington Capitals · 3-1
- L2026-10-01 · New York Rangers · 1-5
- L2026-05-03 · Montreal Canadiens · 1-2
- W2026-05-01 · Montreal Canadiens · 1-0
Minnesota Wild
- W2026-10-04 · Boston Bruins · 4-1
- W2026-10-02 · Nashville Predators · 3-1
- L2026-05-14 · Colorado Avalanche · 3-4
- L2026-05-12 · Colorado Avalanche · 2-5
- W2026-05-10 · Colorado Avalanche · 5-1
Tampa Bay Lightning come in with 3 victories in their last 5 outings. Minnesota Wild come in with 3 victories in their last 5 outings.
Head to head
The recent record between them reads Tampa Bay Lightning 1 – Minnesota Wild 1 across 2 matches.
- 2026-03-24 · Tampa Bay Lightning 6-3 Minnesota Wild
- 2026-03-04 · Minnesota Wild 5-1 Tampa Bay Lightning
Odds can move right up to 1 minute before the start, and this preview page is withdrawn once the match is over.