New York Islanders v Tampa Bay Lightning prediction and odds
Our numbers for New York Islanders v Tampa Bay Lightning (NHL): probabilities, form and the prices on offer.
Our reading
Neither side stands out: New York Islanders get 33% and Tampa Bay Lightning 40%, so small details like line-ups can tip it. Our model puts a stalemate at 27%; draw no bet or double chance can cover that scenario. Goals or points: the 5.5 line, with a 49% chance of going over on our numbers.
We calculate every price in-house: team or player ratings give the probabilities above, and a margin is then spread proportionally across the outcomes. How we price our odds
Markets and odds
Match result (1X2)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Islanders | 2.87 | 33% | |
| Draw | 3.47 | 27% | |
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 2.31 | 40% |
Winner
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Islanders | 2.06 | 45% | |
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 1.71 | 55% |
Total (4.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 4.5 | 1.29 | 72% | |
| Under 4.5 | 3.40 | 28% |
Total (5.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5.5 | 1.92 | 49% | |
| Under 5.5 | 1.82 | 51% |
Total (6.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6.5 | 2.39 | 39% | |
| Under 6.5 | 1.53 | 61% |
Recent form
New York Islanders
- W2026-10-03 · New Jersey Devils · 6-0
- L2026-09-30 · Toronto Maple Leafs · 1-2
- L2026-04-14 · Carolina Hurricanes · 1-2
- L2026-04-12 · Montreal Canadiens · 1-4
- L2026-04-11 · Ottawa Senators · 0-3
Tampa Bay Lightning
- W2026-10-05 · Philadelphia Flyers · 4-1
- W2026-10-03 · Washington Capitals · 3-1
- L2026-10-01 · New York Rangers · 1-5
- L2026-05-03 · Montreal Canadiens · 1-2
- W2026-05-01 · Montreal Canadiens · 1-0
New York Islanders won 1 of their last 5. Recent form: 3 wins from 5 for Tampa Bay Lightning.
Head to head
Head to head over 3 games: New York Islanders 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 0.
- 2025-12-13 · New York Islanders 3-2 Tampa Bay Lightning
- 2025-12-07 · Tampa Bay Lightning 0-2 New York Islanders
- 2025-12-03 · New York Islanders 2-1 Tampa Bay Lightning
Odds can move right up to 1 minute before the start, and this preview page is withdrawn once the match is over.