Alavés v Atlético Madrid prediction and odds
Our numbers for Alavés v Atlético Madrid (LaLiga): probabilities, form and the prices on offer.
Our reading
This one is close to a coin flip on our numbers — 32% for Alavés against 41% for Atlético Madrid. Our model puts a stalemate at 27%; draw no bet or double chance can cover that scenario. Our model sees the over 2.5 landing 55% of the time.
We calculate every price in-house: team or player ratings give the probabilities above, and a margin is then spread proportionally across the outcomes. How we price our odds
Markets and odds
Match result (1X2)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Alavés | 2.89 | 32% | |
| Draw | 3.46 | 27% | |
| Atlético Madrid | 2.30 | 41% |
Total (1.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.17 | 80% | |
| Under 1.5 | 4.59 | 20% |
Total (2.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.69 | 55% | |
| Under 2.5 | 2.09 | 45% |
Total (3.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 2.84 | 33% | |
| Under 3.5 | 1.39 | 67% |
Both teams to score
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.57 | 60% | |
| No | 2.31 | 40% |
Handicap (0)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Alavés 0.0 | 2.11 | 44% | |
| Atlético Madrid -0.0 | 1.68 | 56% |
Recent form
Alavés
- D2026-09-19 · Athletic Club · 0-0
- L2026-09-15 · Valencia · 0-1
- L2026-09-12 · Racing Santander · 1-2
- W2026-09-06 · Osasuna · 5-2
- W2026-08-28 · Villarreal · 1-0
Atlético Madrid
- W2026-09-20 · Real Madrid · 2-1
- W2026-09-16 · Osasuna · 4-0
- W2026-09-13 · Real Sociedad · 3-0
- L2026-09-09 · Liverpool · 1-2
- L2026-09-05 · Athletic Club · 0-3
Recent form: 2 wins from 5 for Alavés. Atlético Madrid won 3 of their last 5.
Head to head
Head to head over 1 games: Alavés 0, Atlético Madrid 1.
- 2026-01-18 · Atlético Madrid 1-0 Alavés
Odds can move right up to 1 minute before the start, and this preview page is withdrawn once the match is over.