Mainz v Bayer Leverkusen prediction and odds
Next up in the Bundesliga: Mainz against Bayer Leverkusen. Below you'll find the win chances our ratings give each side.
Our reading
This one is close to a coin flip on our numbers — 35% for Mainz against 39% for Bayer Leverkusen. Our model puts a stalemate at 26%; draw no bet or double chance can cover that scenario. Our model sees the over 2.5 landing 60% of the time.
We calculate every price in-house: team or player ratings give the probabilities above, and a margin is then spread proportionally across the outcomes. How we price our odds
Markets and odds
Match result (1X2)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz | 2.71 | 35% | |
| Draw | 3.59 | 26% | |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 2.37 | 39% |
Total (1.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.13 | 83% | |
| Under 1.5 | 5.33 | 17% |
Total (2.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.57 | 60% | |
| Under 2.5 | 2.31 | 40% |
Total (3.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 2.51 | 37% | |
| Under 3.5 | 1.49 | 63% |
Both teams to score
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.49 | 63% | |
| No | 2.52 | 37% |
Handicap (0)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz 0.0 | 2.00 | 47% | |
| Bayer Leverkusen -0.0 | 1.75 | 53% |
Recent form
Mainz
- W2026-09-19 · Borussia Mönchengladbach · 4-3
- L2026-09-12 · Eintracht Frankfurt · 1-3
- W2026-09-06 · Hamburg SV · 5-0
- D2026-08-29 · SC Paderborn 07 · 0-0
- W2026-05-16 · 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 · 2-0
Bayer Leverkusen
- W2026-09-20 · RB Leipzig · 2-0
- W2026-09-16 · NK Celje · 2-0
- D2026-09-12 · FC Augsburg · 2-2
- W2026-09-05 · 1. FC Union Berlin · 4-0
- L2026-08-29 · SV Elversberg · 2-3
Mainz won 3 of their last 5. Bayer Leverkusen won 3 of their last 5.
Head to head
The recent record between them reads Mainz 0 – Bayer Leverkusen 1 across 2 matches.
- 2026-02-28 · Bayer Leverkusen 1-1 Mainz
- 2025-10-18 · Mainz 3-4 Bayer Leverkusen
Odds can move right up to 1 minute before the start, and this preview page is withdrawn once the match is over.