NOCTURN SPORT

Sassuolo v AC Milan prediction and odds

Our numbers for Sassuolo v AC Milan (Serie A): probabilities, form and the prices on offer.

CompetitionSerie A
Start time
Odds updatedMon 5 Oct, 05:07 UTC

Our reading

This one is close to a coin flip on our numbers — 32% for Sassuolo against 40% for AC Milan. A level score is a real possibility here: 28% on our figures. Our model sees the over 2.5 landing 50% of the time.

We calculate every price in-house: team or player ratings give the probabilities above, and a margin is then spread proportionally across the outcomes. How we price our odds

Markets and odds

Match result (1X2)

OddsProbability
Sassuolo2.9432%
Draw3.3028%
AC Milan2.3540%

Total (1.5)

OddsProbability
Over 1.51.2376%
Under 1.53.8524%

Total (2.5)

OddsProbability
Over 2.51.8850%
Under 2.51.8650%

Total (3.5)

OddsProbability
Over 3.53.3628%
Under 3.51.3072%

Both teams to score

OddsProbability
Yes1.6955%
No2.0945%

Handicap (0)

OddsProbability
Sassuolo 0.02.1044%
AC Milan -0.01.6856%

Recent form

Sassuolo

  • L2026-09-18 · Monza · 1-2
  • W2026-09-13 · Juventus · 3-2
  • D2026-09-06 · Bologna · 2-2
  • W2026-08-29 · Torino · 2-1
  • L2026-08-23 · Atalanta · 1-2

AC Milan

  • W2026-09-20 · Lecce · 3-0
  • L2026-09-16 · Benfica · 0-2
  • D2026-09-12 · Lazio · 2-2
  • D2026-09-06 · Juventus · 1-1
  • W2026-08-28 · Venezia · 2-0

Sassuolo come in with 2 victories in their last 5 outings. AC Milan come in with 2 victories in their last 5 outings.

Head to head

The recent record between them reads Sassuolo 1 – AC Milan 0 across 2 matches.

  • 2026-05-03 · Sassuolo 2-0 AC Milan
  • 2025-12-14 · AC Milan 2-2 Sassuolo

Odds can move right up to 1 minute before the start, and this preview page is withdrawn once the match is over.

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