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Troyes v Marseille prediction and odds

Next up in the Ligue 1: Troyes against Marseille. Below you'll find the win chances our ratings give each side.

CompetitionLigue 1
Start time
Odds updatedMon 5 Oct, 03:07 UTC

Our reading

Very little separates the two: Troyes 38%, Marseille 37%. The draw comes out at 25%, which is worth keeping in mind before backing either side outright. Goals or points: the 3.5 line, with a 40% chance of going over on our numbers.

These probabilities come from our own models (Elo ratings for duels and esports, Poisson goals or normal points distributions for team sports), not from another bookmaker's prices. How we price our odds

Markets and odds

Match result (1X2)

OddsProbability
Troyes2.4838%
Draw3.6825%
Marseille2.5337%

Total (1.5)

OddsProbability
Over 1.51.1184%
Under 1.55.9516%

Total (2.5)

OddsProbability
Over 2.51.4963%
Under 2.52.5037%

Total (3.5)

OddsProbability
Over 3.52.3140%
Under 3.51.5760%

Both teams to score

OddsProbability
Yes1.4365%
No2.6935%

Handicap (0)

OddsProbability
Troyes 0.01.8551%
Marseille -0.01.8949%

Recent form

Troyes

  • L2026-09-19 · Angers · 0-2
  • L2026-09-13 · Lille · 0-2
  • L2026-09-06 · Strasbourg · 2-6
  • W2026-08-29 · Lorient · 2-1
  • D2026-08-22 · Paris FC · 0-0

Marseille

  • L2026-09-20 · Paris Saint-Germain · 1-2
  • L2026-09-17 · Besiktas · 1-4
  • L2026-09-11 · Stade Rennais · 0-1
  • L2026-09-06 · Paris FC · 2-3
  • L2026-08-30 · AS Monaco · 0-2

Recent form: 1 wins from 5 for Troyes. Recent form: 0 wins from 5 for Marseille.

Head to head

This is a fresh pairing: we have no recent head-to-head between Troyes and Marseille.

Odds can move right up to 1 minute before the start, and this preview page is withdrawn once the match is over.

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