NOCTURN SPORT

Holger Rune v Daniel Altmaier prediction and odds

Holger Rune take on Daniel Altmaier in the Rolex Shanghai Masters, and here is how our model sees it.

CompetitionRolex Shanghai Masters
Start time
FormatBo3
Odds updatedMon 5 Oct, 11:07 UTC

Our reading

There is a clear lean to Holger Rune at 63%; Daniel Altmaier still win this often enough to keep it interesting. It is a best of 3: the stronger side gets more chances to recover from a bad game, so favourites win series more often than single games.

The figures above are what our rating model expects, built from past results; the odds you see are those probabilities with our margin applied evenly across each market. How we price our odds

Markets and odds

Winner

OddsProbability
Holger Rune1.4263%
Daniel Altmaier2.4137%

Recent form

Holger Rune

  • L2026-10-01 · Kyrian Jacquet · 0-2
  • W2025-10-17 · Tomas Martin Etcheverry · 2-1
  • W2025-10-16 · Marton Fucsovics · 2-0
  • L2025-10-09 · Valentin Vacherot · 1-2
  • W2025-10-07 · Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · 2-1

Daniel Altmaier

  • L2026-09-28 · Cui Jie · 0-2
  • L2026-09-02 · Zachary Svajda · 1-3
  • L2026-08-26 · Ignacio Buse · 0-2
  • W2026-08-25 · Francisco Comesana · 2-0
  • L2026-08-16 · Lorenzo Musetti · 0-2

Holger Rune won 3 of their last 5. Daniel Altmaier won 1 of their last 5.

Head to head

Holger Rune and Daniel Altmaier haven't met recently, so there is no head-to-head to lean on.

Odds can move right up to 1 minute before the start, and this preview page is withdrawn once the match is over.

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