Hubert Hurkacz v James Duckworth prediction and odds
Hubert Hurkacz take on James Duckworth in the Rolex Shanghai Masters, and here is how our model sees it.
Our reading
Hubert Hurkacz go in as favourites at 69%, but James Duckworth are far from out of it. Played as a best of 3, which stretches the edge of the better player or team; map and set handicaps (±1.5) and total maps become interesting. Goals or points: the 2.5 line, with a 47% chance of going over on our numbers.
These probabilities come from our own models (Elo ratings for duels and esports, Poisson goals or normal points distributions for team sports), not from another bookmaker's prices. How we price our odds
Markets and odds
Winner
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Hubert Hurkacz | 1.35 | 69% | |
| James Duckworth | 3.02 | 31% |
Handicap (-1.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Hubert Hurkacz -1.5 | 2.36 | 40% | |
| James Duckworth +1.5 | 1.55 | 60% |
Handicap (+1.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Hubert Hurkacz +1.5 | 1.08 | 86% | |
| James Duckworth -1.5 | 6.82 | 14% |
Total (2.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 2.00 | 47% | |
| Under 2.5 | 1.75 | 53% |
Correct score
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | 2.36 | 40% | |
| 2-1 | 3.18 | 29% | |
| 1-2 | 5.41 | 17% | |
| 0-2 | 6.82 | 14% |
Recent form
Hubert Hurkacz
- W2026-10-04 · Karen Khachanov · 2-0
- W2026-10-02 · Arthur Gea · 2-1
- W2026-10-01 · Learner Tien · 2-1
- L2026-09-29 · Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · 0-2
- W2026-09-28 · Denis Shapovalov · 2-1
James Duckworth
- L2026-09-24 · Lorenzo Sonego · 0-2
- L2026-09-02 · Wu Yibing · 0-3
- W2026-08-31 · Matteo Arnaldi · 3-1
- W2026-08-28 · Fabian Marozsan · 2-1
- W2026-08-26 · Lorenzo Sonego · 2-0
Hubert Hurkacz won 4 of their last 5. James Duckworth come in with 3 victories in their last 5 outings.
Head to head
No recent meeting between Hubert Hurkacz and James Duckworth in our records.
Odds can move right up to 1 minute before the start, and this preview page is withdrawn once the match is over.