NOCTURN SPORT

Sho Shimabukuro v Miomir Kecmanovic prediction and odds

Sho Shimabukuro take on Miomir Kecmanovic in the Rolex Shanghai Masters, and here is how our model sees it.

CompetitionRolex Shanghai Masters
Start time
FormatBo3
Odds updatedTue 6 Oct, 03:07 UTC

Our reading

This one is close to a coin flip on our numbers — 55% for Sho Shimabukuro against 45% for Miomir Kecmanovic. Format: best of 3. Longer series reduce the upset rate, which is why the series price is shorter than the single-game price for the favourite. On the total, the main line is 2.5 and we rate the over at 50%.

The figures above are what our rating model expects, built from past results; the odds you see are those probabilities with our margin applied evenly across each market. How we price our odds

Markets and odds

Winner

OddsProbability
Sho Shimabukuro1.7155%
Miomir Kecmanovic2.0645%

Handicap (-1.5)

OddsProbability
Sho Shimabukuro -1.53.3128%
Miomir Kecmanovic +1.51.3072%

Handicap (+1.5)

OddsProbability
Sho Shimabukuro +1.51.2078%
Miomir Kecmanovic -1.54.2522%

Total (2.5)

OddsProbability
Over 2.51.8850%
Under 2.51.8650%

Correct score

OddsProbability
2-03.3128%
2-13.5326%
1-24.0023%
0-24.2522%

Recent form

Sho Shimabukuro

  • L2026-10-01 · Denis Shapovalov · 0-2
  • L2026-09-24 · Hugo Gaston · 0-2
  • L2026-08-30 · Arthur Rinderknech · 1-3
  • L2026-08-23 · Miomir Kecmanovic · 0-2
  • L2026-08-14 · Hubert Hurkacz · 0-2

Miomir Kecmanovic

  • L2026-09-28 · Adrian Mannarino · 1-2
  • L2026-09-24 · Nikoloz Basilashvili · 0-2
  • L2026-08-30 · Denis Shapovalov · 1-3
  • L2026-08-26 · Fabian Marozsan · 0-2
  • W2026-08-23 · Sho Shimabukuro · 2-0

Recent form: 0 wins from 5 for Sho Shimabukuro. Recent form: 1 wins from 5 for Miomir Kecmanovic.

Head to head

In their last 2 meetings, Sho Shimabukuro won 0 and Miomir Kecmanovic won 2.

  • 2026-08-23 · Sho Shimabukuro 0-2 Miomir Kecmanovic
  • 2026-02-10 · Sho Shimabukuro 1-2 Miomir Kecmanovic

Odds can move right up to 1 minute before the start, and this preview page is withdrawn once the match is over.

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