Botic Van De Zandschulp v Daniel Merida prediction and odds
Our numbers for Botic Van De Zandschulp v Daniel Merida (Rolex Shanghai Masters): probabilities, form and the prices on offer.
Our reading
Our model makes Daniel Merida the more likely winners (60%) without making this a one-sided contest against Botic Van De Zandschulp. Format: best of 3. Longer series reduce the upset rate, which is why the series price is shorter than the single-game price for the favourite. Goals or points: the 2.5 line, with a 49% chance of going over on our numbers.
We calculate every price in-house: team or player ratings give the probabilities above, and a margin is then spread proportionally across the outcomes. How we price our odds
Markets and odds
Winner
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | 2.31 | 40% | |
| Daniel Merida | 1.57 | 60% |
Handicap (-1.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Botic Van De Zandschulp -1.5 | 4.93 | 19% | |
| Daniel Merida +1.5 | 1.15 | 81% |
Handicap (+1.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Botic Van De Zandschulp +1.5 | 1.37 | 68% | |
| Daniel Merida -1.5 | 2.93 | 32% |
Total (2.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.90 | 49% | |
| Under 2.5 | 1.84 | 51% |
Correct score
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | 2.93 | 32% | |
| 1-2 | 3.37 | 28% | |
| 2-1 | 4.36 | 21% | |
| 2-0 | 4.93 | 19% |
Recent form
Botic Van De Zandschulp
- L2026-10-01 · Francisco Cerundolo · 1-2
- W2026-09-29 · Cui Jie · 2-0
- W2026-09-28 · Valentin Royer · 2-1
- L2026-09-25 · Nikoloz Basilashvili · 0-2
- L2026-09-10 · Alexander Zverev · 0-3
Daniel Merida
- L2026-09-04 · Alex Michelsen · 0-3
- W2026-09-02 · Andrey Rublev · 3-1
- W2026-08-30 · Marton Fucsovics · 3-0
- L2026-08-18 · Taylor Fritz · 0-2
- W2026-08-16 · Zizou Bergs · 2-0
Recent form: 2 wins from 5 for Botic Van De Zandschulp. Recent form: 3 wins from 5 for Daniel Merida.
Head to head
Botic Van De Zandschulp and Daniel Merida haven't met recently, so there is no head-to-head to lean on.
Odds can move right up to 1 minute before the start, and this preview page is withdrawn once the match is over.