Cameron Norrie v Denis Shapovalov prediction and odds
Cameron Norrie take on Denis Shapovalov in the Rolex Shanghai Masters, and here is how our model sees it.
Our reading
This one is close to a coin flip on our numbers — 47% for Cameron Norrie against 53% for Denis Shapovalov. It is a best of 3: the stronger side gets more chances to recover from a bad game, so favourites win series more often than single games. Our model sees the over 2.5 landing 50% of the time.
These probabilities come from our own models (Elo ratings for duels and esports, Poisson goals or normal points distributions for team sports), not from another bookmaker's prices. How we price our odds
Markets and odds
Winner
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Norrie | 1.97 | 47% | |
| Denis Shapovalov | 1.77 | 53% |
Handicap (-1.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Norrie -1.5 | 4.02 | 23% | |
| Denis Shapovalov +1.5 | 1.22 | 77% |
Handicap (+1.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Norrie +1.5 | 1.28 | 73% | |
| Denis Shapovalov -1.5 | 3.49 | 27% |
Total (2.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.87 | 50% | |
| Under 2.5 | 1.87 | 50% |
Correct score
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | 3.49 | 27% | |
| 1-2 | 3.61 | 26% | |
| 2-1 | 3.88 | 24% | |
| 2-0 | 4.02 | 23% |
Recent form
Cameron Norrie
- L2026-10-01 · Alexander Zverev · 0-2
- L2026-08-30 · Luca Van Assche · 1-3
- L2026-08-16 · Alexander Zverev · 1-2
- W2026-08-13 · Dino Prizmic · 2-1
- L2026-08-09 · Arthur Fils · 0-2
Denis Shapovalov
- W2026-10-03 · Alejandro Tabilo · 2-1
- W2026-10-01 · Sho Shimabukuro · 2-0
- L2026-09-28 · Hubert Hurkacz · 1-2
- W2026-09-27 · Adrian Mannarino · 2-1
- W2026-09-25 · Vit Kopriva · 2-0
Recent form: 1 wins from 5 for Cameron Norrie. Denis Shapovalov come in with 4 victories in their last 5 outings.
Head to head
In their last 1 meetings, Cameron Norrie won 0 and Denis Shapovalov won 1.
- 2026-08-01 · Cameron Norrie 1-2 Denis Shapovalov
Odds can move right up to 1 minute before the start, and this preview page is withdrawn once the match is over.