NOCTURN SPORT

Liam Draxl v Nikoloz Basilashvili prediction and odds

Next up in the Rolex Shanghai Masters: Liam Draxl against Nikoloz Basilashvili. Below you'll find the win chances our ratings give each side.

CompetitionRolex Shanghai Masters
Start time
FormatBo3
Odds updatedMon 5 Oct, 12:07 UTC

Our reading

Our model makes Nikoloz Basilashvili the more likely winners (68%) without making this a one-sided contest against Liam Draxl. Format: best of 3. Longer series reduce the upset rate, which is why the series price is shorter than the single-game price for the favourite.

These probabilities come from our own models (Elo ratings for duels and esports, Poisson goals or normal points distributions for team sports), not from another bookmaker's prices. How we price our odds

Markets and odds

Winner

OddsProbability
Liam Draxl2.7632%
Nikoloz Basilashvili1.3268%

Recent form

Liam Draxl

  • W2026-10-05 · Hugo Gaston · 2-0
  • L2026-08-04 · Daniel Merida · 1-2
  • L2026-03-31 · Nishesh Basavareddy · 1-2
  • W2026-03-29 · Alexis Galarneau · 2-1
  • W2026-03-28 · Mitchell Krueger · 2-1

Nikoloz Basilashvili

  • W2026-10-05 · Andre Ilagan · 2-1
  • L2026-09-28 · Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · 1-2
  • W2026-09-27 · Jenson Brooksby · 2-0
  • W2026-09-25 · Botic Van De Zandschulp · 2-0
  • W2026-09-24 · Miomir Kecmanovic · 2-0

Recent form: 3 wins from 5 for Liam Draxl. Nikoloz Basilashvili come in with 4 victories in their last 5 outings.

Head to head

Liam Draxl and Nikoloz Basilashvili haven't met recently, so there is no head-to-head to lean on.

Odds can move right up to 1 minute before the start, and this preview page is withdrawn once the match is over.

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