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Jiri Lehecka v Valentin Vacherot prediction and odds

Jiri Lehecka take on Valentin Vacherot in the Kinoshita Group Japan Open Tennis Championships, and here is how our model sees it.

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CompetitionKinoshita Group Japan Open Tennis Championships
Start time
FormatBo3
Odds updatedMon 5 Oct, 11:07 UTC

Our reading

Very little separates the two: Jiri Lehecka 56%, Valentin Vacherot 44%. It is a best of 3: the stronger side gets more chances to recover from a bad game, so favourites win series more often than single games. Our model sees the over 2.5 landing 50% of the time.

We calculate every price in-house: team or player ratings give the probabilities above, and a margin is then spread proportionally across the outcomes. How we price our odds

Markets and odds

Winner

OddsProbability
Jiri Lehecka1.6656%
Valentin Vacherot2.1544%

Handicap (-1.5)

OddsProbability
Jiri Lehecka -1.53.1730%
Valentin Vacherot +1.51.3370%

Handicap (+1.5)

OddsProbability
Jiri Lehecka +1.51.1879%
Valentin Vacherot -1.54.4821%

Total (2.5)

OddsProbability
Over 2.51.8850%
Under 2.51.8650%

Correct score

OddsProbability
2-03.1729%
2-13.4727%
1-24.1223%
0-24.4821%

Recent form

Jiri Lehecka

  • W2026-10-04 · Adolfo Daniel Vallejo · 2-0
  • W2026-10-03 · Ugo Humbert · 2-1
  • W2026-10-01 · Zizou Bergs · 2-1
  • L2026-09-04 · Stefanos Tsitsipas · 1-3
  • W2026-09-02 · Toby Samuel · 3-0

Valentin Vacherot

  • W2026-10-04 · Arthur Fils · 2-1
  • W2026-10-02 · Stefanos Tsitsipas · 2-1
  • W2026-09-30 · Alexander Blockx · 2-0
  • L2026-09-26 · Lloyd Harris · 0-2
  • L2026-09-04 · Frances Tiafoe · 0-3

Jiri Lehecka come in with 4 victories in their last 5 outings. Valentin Vacherot come in with 3 victories in their last 5 outings.

Head to head

In their last 1 meetings, Jiri Lehecka won 0 and Valentin Vacherot won 1.

  • 2025-10-28 · Valentin Vacherot 2-0 Jiri Lehecka

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