Hugo Gaston v Liam Draxl prediction and odds
Hugo Gaston take on Liam Draxl in the Rolex Shanghai Masters, and here is how our model sees it.
This match has started, so pre-match betting is closed and the preview is no longer listed.
Our reading
Very little separates the two: Hugo Gaston 52%, Liam Draxl 48%. It is a best of 3: the stronger side gets more chances to recover from a bad game, so favourites win series more often than single games.
We calculate every price in-house: team or player ratings give the probabilities above, and a margin is then spread proportionally across the outcomes. How we price our odds
Markets and odds
Winner
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Gaston | 1.71 | 52% | |
| Liam Draxl | 1.87 | 48% |
Recent form
Hugo Gaston
- L2026-09-27 · Andrey Rublev · 1-2
- W2026-09-25 · Jaime Faria · 2-1
- W2026-09-24 · Sho Shimabukuro · 2-0
- L2026-08-30 · Daniil Medvedev · 0-3
- L2026-08-12 · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · 1-2
Liam Draxl
- L2026-08-04 · Daniel Merida · 1-2
- L2026-03-31 · Nishesh Basavareddy · 1-2
- W2026-03-29 · Alexis Galarneau · 2-1
- W2026-03-28 · Mitchell Krueger · 2-1
- L2026-03-19 · Quentin Halys · 1-2
Hugo Gaston won 2 of their last 5. Recent form: 2 wins from 5 for Liam Draxl.
Head to head
This is a fresh pairing: we have no recent head-to-head between Hugo Gaston and Liam Draxl.
Odds can move right up to 1 minute before the start, and this preview page is withdrawn once the match is over.