Alex Bolt v Lloyd Harris prediction and odds
Alex Bolt take on Lloyd Harris in the Rolex Shanghai Masters, and here is how our model sees it.
Our reading
There is a clear lean to Lloyd Harris at 58%; Alex Bolt still win this often enough to keep it interesting. Played as a best of 3, which stretches the edge of the better player or team; map and set handicaps (±1.5) and total maps become interesting.
These probabilities come from our own models (Elo ratings for duels and esports, Poisson goals or normal points distributions for team sports), not from another bookmaker's prices. How we price our odds
Markets and odds
Winner
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Bolt | 2.12 | 42% | |
| Lloyd Harris | 1.54 | 58% |
Recent form
Alex Bolt
- L2026-09-24 · Fabian Marozsan · 0-2
- W2026-09-23 · Akira Santillan · 2-1
- W2026-09-22 · Omar Jasika · 2-0
- L2026-07-26 · Aleksandar Vukic · 0-2
- W2026-07-25 · James McCabe · 2-0
Lloyd Harris
- L2026-09-27 · Hubert Hurkacz · 0-2
- W2026-09-26 · Valentin Vacherot · 2-0
- W2026-09-24 · Aleksandar Kovacevic · 2-0
- W2026-09-23 · Alexis Galarneau · 2-0
- W2026-09-22 · Kenta Miyoshi · 2-0
Alex Bolt come in with 3 victories in their last 5 outings. Recent form: 4 wins from 5 for Lloyd Harris.
Head to head
Alex Bolt and Lloyd Harris haven't met recently, so there is no head-to-head to lean on.
Odds can move right up to 1 minute before the start, and this preview page is withdrawn once the match is over.