Mattia Bellucci v Elias Ymer prediction and odds
Mattia Bellucci take on Elias Ymer in the Rolex Shanghai Masters, and here is how our model sees it.
Our reading
Very little separates the two: Mattia Bellucci 53%, Elias Ymer 47%. Played as a best of 3, which stretches the edge of the better player or team; map and set handicaps (±1.5) and total maps become interesting.
These probabilities come from our own models (Elo ratings for duels and esports, Poisson goals or normal points distributions for team sports), not from another bookmaker's prices. How we price our odds
Markets and odds
Winner
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Mattia Bellucci | 1.67 | 53% | |
| Elias Ymer | 1.92 | 47% |
Recent form
Mattia Bellucci
- L2026-09-24 · Kamil Majchrzak · 0-2
- L2026-09-03 · Taylor Fritz · 0-3
- W2026-09-01 · Zsombor Piros · 3-0
- L2026-08-25 · Luciano Darderi · 1-2
- W2026-08-23 · Martin Landaluce · 2-1
Elias Ymer
- L2026-09-22 · Alexis Galarneau · 0-2
- L2026-07-25 · Trevor Svajda · 0-2
- L2026-06-08 · Ugo Humbert · 0-2
- W2026-06-07 · Niels Visker · 2-0
- W2026-06-06 · Mac Visser · 2-0
Mattia Bellucci come in with 2 victories in their last 5 outings. Recent form: 2 wins from 5 for Elias Ymer.
Head to head
Mattia Bellucci and Elias Ymer haven't met recently, so there is no head-to-head to lean on.
Odds can move right up to 1 minute before the start, and this preview page is withdrawn once the match is over.