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Francisco Prado v Ismael Bonfim prediction and odds

Our numbers for Francisco Prado v Ismael Bonfim (UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan): probabilities, form and the prices on offer.

CompetitionUFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan
Start time
Odds updatedMon 5 Oct, 04:07 UTC

Our reading

There is a clear lean to Ismael Bonfim at 62%; Francisco Prado still win this often enough to keep it interesting.

The figures above are what our rating model expects, built from past results; the odds you see are those probabilities with our margin applied evenly across each market. How we price our odds

Markets and odds

Winner

OddsProbability
Francisco Prado2.4738%
Ismael Bonfim1.5062%

Recent form

Francisco Prado

  • L2026-04-11 · Charles Radtke · 0-1
  • L2025-07-20 · Nikolay Veretennikov · 0-1

Ismael Bonfim

  • L2026-07-25 · Axel Sola · 0-1
  • L2025-11-09 · Chris Padilla · 0-1

Francisco Prado won 0 of their last 2. Recent form: 0 wins from 2 for Ismael Bonfim.

Head to head

This is a fresh pairing: we have no recent head-to-head between Francisco Prado and Ismael Bonfim.

Odds can move right up to 1 minute before the start, and this preview page is withdrawn once the match is over.

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