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New Orleans Saints v Atlanta Falcons prediction and odds

Our numbers for New Orleans Saints v Atlanta Falcons (NFL): probabilities, form and the prices on offer.

CompetitionNFL
Start time
Odds updatedMon 5 Oct, 00:07 UTC

Our reading

New Orleans Saints go in as favourites at 59%, but Atlanta Falcons are far from out of it. Our model sees the over 44.5 landing 50% of the time.

We calculate every price in-house: team or player ratings give the probabilities above, and a margin is then spread proportionally across the outcomes. How we price our odds

Markets and odds

Winner

OddsProbability
New Orleans Saints1.5859%
Atlanta Falcons2.2941%

Handicap (-2.5)

OddsProbability
New Orleans Saints -2.51.8351%
Atlanta Falcons +2.51.9149%

Total (44.5)

OddsProbability
Over 44.51.8850%
Under 44.51.8650%

Recent form

New Orleans Saints

  • L2026-09-27 · Las Vegas Raiders · 27-35
  • W2026-09-20 · Baltimore Ravens · 24-17
  • L2026-09-13 · Detroit Lions · 30-31
  • L2026-01-04 · Atlanta Falcons · 17-19
  • W2025-12-28 · Tennessee Titans · 34-26

Atlanta Falcons

  • W2026-09-25 · Green Bay Packers · 35-14
  • L2026-09-20 · Carolina Panthers · 3-34
  • L2026-09-13 · Pittsburgh Steelers · 13-20
  • W2026-01-04 · New Orleans Saints · 19-17
  • W2025-12-30 · Los Angeles Rams · 27-24

New Orleans Saints won 2 of their last 5. Atlanta Falcons come in with 3 victories in their last 5 outings.

Head to head

In their last 2 meetings, New Orleans Saints won 0 and Atlanta Falcons won 2.

  • 2026-01-04 · Atlanta Falcons 19-17 New Orleans Saints
  • 2025-11-23 · New Orleans Saints 10-24 Atlanta Falcons

Odds can move right up to 1 minute before the start, and this preview page is withdrawn once the match is over.

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