Kyrian Jacquet v Rei Sakamoto prediction and odds
Next up in the Rolex Shanghai Masters: Kyrian Jacquet against Rei Sakamoto. Below you'll find the win chances our ratings give each side.
Our reading
Kyrian Jacquet go in as favourites at 64%, but Rei Sakamoto are far from out of it. Played as a best of 3, which stretches the edge of the better player or team; map and set handicaps (±1.5) and total maps become interesting. Our model sees the over 2.5 landing 48% of the time.
These probabilities come from our own models (Elo ratings for duels and esports, Poisson goals or normal points distributions for team sports), not from another bookmaker's prices. How we price our odds
Markets and odds
Winner
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrian Jacquet | 1.47 | 64% | |
| Rei Sakamoto | 2.56 | 36% |
Handicap (-1.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrian Jacquet -1.5 | 2.68 | 35% | |
| Rei Sakamoto +1.5 | 1.44 | 65% |
Handicap (+1.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrian Jacquet +1.5 | 1.12 | 83% | |
| Rei Sakamoto -1.5 | 5.58 | 17% |
Total (2.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.93 | 48% | |
| Under 2.5 | 1.81 | 52% |
Correct score
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | 2.68 | 35% | |
| 2-1 | 3.27 | 29% | |
| 1-2 | 4.72 | 20% | |
| 0-2 | 5.58 | 17% |
Recent form
Kyrian Jacquet
- W2026-10-05 · Zhang Tianhui · 2-0
- L2026-10-04 · Jaume Munar · 0-2
- W2026-10-02 · Luciano Darderi · 2-0
- W2026-10-01 · Holger Rune · 2-0
- L2026-09-28 · Andrey Rublev · 0-2
Rei Sakamoto
- W2026-10-05 · SeongChan Hong · 2-0
- L2026-09-30 · Matteo Arnaldi · 1-2
- L2026-09-02 · Frances Tiafoe · 0-3
- W2026-08-31 · Aleksandar Vukic · 3-2
- L2026-06-25 · Jaime Faria · 1-3
Recent form: 3 wins from 5 for Kyrian Jacquet. Rei Sakamoto come in with 2 victories in their last 5 outings.
Head to head
This is a fresh pairing: we have no recent head-to-head between Kyrian Jacquet and Rei Sakamoto.
Odds can move right up to 1 minute before the start, and this preview page is withdrawn once the match is over.