Mattia Bellucci v Alexandre Muller prediction and odds
Mattia Bellucci take on Alexandre Muller in the Rolex Shanghai Masters, and here is how our model sees it.
Our reading
Very little separates the two: Mattia Bellucci 51%, Alexandre Muller 49%. It is a best of 3: the stronger side gets more chances to recover from a bad game, so favourites win series more often than single games. Our model sees the over 2.5 landing 50% of the time.
These probabilities come from our own models (Elo ratings for duels and esports, Poisson goals or normal points distributions for team sports), not from another bookmaker's prices. How we price our odds
Markets and odds
Winner
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Mattia Bellucci | 1.83 | 51% | |
| Alexandre Muller | 1.91 | 49% |
Handicap (-1.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Mattia Bellucci -1.5 | 3.63 | 26% | |
| Alexandre Muller +1.5 | 1.26 | 74% |
Handicap (+1.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Mattia Bellucci +1.5 | 1.23 | 76% | |
| Alexandre Muller -1.5 | 3.85 | 24% |
Total (2.5)
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.87 | 50% | |
| Under 2.5 | 1.87 | 50% |
Correct score
| Odds | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | 3.63 | 26% | |
| 2-1 | 3.68 | 25% | |
| 1-2 | 3.80 | 25% | |
| 0-2 | 3.85 | 24% |
Recent form
Mattia Bellucci
- W2026-10-05 · Elias Ymer · 2-1
- L2026-09-24 · Kamil Majchrzak · 0-2
- L2026-09-03 · Taylor Fritz · 0-3
- W2026-09-01 · Zsombor Piros · 3-0
- L2026-08-25 · Luciano Darderi · 1-2
Alexandre Muller
- W2026-10-05 · Rio Noguchi · 2-1
- L2026-09-27 · Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · 0-2
- W2026-09-26 · Federico Cina · 2-0
- W2026-09-24 · Moise Kouame · 2-0
- W2026-09-23 · Petr Bar Biryukov · 2-0
Recent form: 2 wins from 5 for Mattia Bellucci. Alexandre Muller come in with 4 victories in their last 5 outings.
Head to head
No recent meeting between Mattia Bellucci and Alexandre Muller in our records.
Odds can move right up to 1 minute before the start, and this preview page is withdrawn once the match is over.