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Arsenal v Leeds United prediction and odds

Arsenal take on Leeds United in the Premier League, and here is how our model sees it.

CompetitionPremier League
Start time
Odds updatedMon 5 Oct, 06:07 UTC

Our reading

Arsenal go in as favourites at 55%, but Leeds United are far from out of it. A level score is a real possibility here: 27% on our figures. Goals or points: the 2.5 line, with a 43% chance of going over on our numbers.

The figures above are what our rating model expects, built from past results; the odds you see are those probabilities with our margin applied evenly across each market. How we price our odds

Markets and odds

Match result (1X2)

OddsProbability
Arsenal1.7055%
Draw3.4327%
Leeds United5.3018%

Total (1.5)

OddsProbability
Over 1.51.3370%
Under 1.53.1730%

Total (2.5)

OddsProbability
Over 2.52.1643%
Under 2.51.6557%

Total (3.5)

OddsProbability
Over 3.54.1922%
Under 3.51.2078%

Both teams to score

OddsProbability
Yes2.0645%
No1.7155%

Handicap (-0.5)

OddsProbability
Arsenal -0.51.7055%
Leeds United +0.52.0845%

Recent form

Arsenal

  • L2026-09-19 · Brighton & Hove Albion · 0-3
  • W2026-09-15 · Ipswich Town · 4-2
  • W2026-09-12 · Sunderland · 2-0
  • W2026-09-09 · Napoli · 1-0
  • W2026-09-06 · Chelsea · 2-1

Leeds United

  • D2026-09-20 · Crystal Palace · 0-0
  • W2026-09-14 · Newcastle United · 4-1
  • L2026-09-09 · Chelsea · 3-6
  • D2026-09-05 · Brighton & Hove Albion · 1-1
  • D2026-08-30 · Brentford · 1-1

Recent form: 4 wins from 5 for Arsenal. Leeds United come in with 1 victories in their last 5 outings.

Head to head

Head to head over 1 games: Arsenal 1, Leeds United 0.

  • 2026-01-31 · Leeds United 0-4 Arsenal

Odds can move right up to 1 minute before the start, and this preview page is withdrawn once the match is over.

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